Canada: Population Projection, by province
Province20222043
Ontario15,122.919,065.3
Quebec8,683.29,472.3
British Columbia5,344.96,669.7
Alberta4,516.36,498.4
Manitoba1,399.91,730.0
Saskatchewan1,189.21,527.4
Nova Scotia1,009.61,099.3
New Brunswick797.5857.0
Newfoundland and Labrador520.3477.9
Prince Edward Island168.4208.7
Yukon44.151.3
Northwest Territories46.050.4
Nunavut39.849.2
  • Region: Canada
  • Time period: 2022
  • Published: Aug 2022

Data Analysis and Insights

Updated: Mar 27, 2024 | Published by: Statistico

Ontario's Projected Population Growth Leads the Provinces

Ontario exhibits the largest absolute increase in population among the provinces, with a projected growth of 3,942.4 thousand individuals from 2022 to 2043.

Alberta and British Columbia to Experience Significant Growth Rates

Alberta and British Columbia are set for robust population increases, with Alberta expected to grow by 1,982.1 thousand and British Columbia by 1,324.8 thousand over the 21-year period.

Nunavut Leads in Percentage Growth Among Territories

Nunavut is projected to have the highest percentage increase in population among the territories, with an anticipated growth of 23.6% from 2022 to 2043.

Only Newfoundland and Labrador to See Population Decline

Newfoundland and Labrador stands out as the only province or territory with a projected population decrease, expecting a reduction of 42.4 thousand individuals by 2043.

Quebec's Modest Population Increase

Quebec is anticipated to see a relatively modest population growth of 789.1 thousand, positioning it in the middle range of growth among the provinces.

Manitoba and Saskatchewan Projected to Have Similar Growth Trajectories

Manitoba and Saskatchewan are forecasted to have comparable population growth, with increases of 330.1 thousand and 338.2 thousand respectively, highlighting their parallel development paths.

Prince Edward Island to Experience Highest Growth Rate in the Maritimes

Prince Edward Island is expected to witness the highest percentage increase in population among the Maritime provinces, with a growth rate of 23.9%.

Yukon and Northwest Territories Show Modest Population Increases

The Yukon and Northwest Territories are projected to see slight population increases of 7.2 thousand and 4.4 thousand respectively, indicating modest growth in the far north.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which province is projected to see the highest population growth in Canada?

Ontario is expected to lead with an anticipated increase of 3,942.4 thousand in population from 2022 to 2043.

Are there any provinces expected to see a decrease in population?

Yes, Newfoundland and Labrador is projected to have a decrease in population by 42.4 thousand.

What is the projected total population growth across all provinces?

The total projected population growth across all provinces is approximately 8,874.8 thousand by 2043.

Which province ranks second in projected population growth?

Alberta is expected to be the second-fastest-growing province with a projected increase of 1,982.1 thousand in population.

Terms and Definitions

In the context of demography, a projection refers to an estimate or forecast of future events based on current data and trends. It involves predicting future population changes considering factors such as birth and death rates, migration patterns, and other demographic factors.

Population refers to a group of individuals of the same species inhabiting a particular geographical area. In the context of this article, it refers to the total number of people living in Canada.

Demography is the statistical study of populations. It includes studies about the size, structure, and distribution of these groups, and spatial or temporal changes in them in response to birth, migration, aging, and death.

A census is a complete count of a population. This includes data about an entire country's residents, including their age, sex, employment status, and other important information. It is usually conducted by a governmental entity and provides critical data for planning and policy matters.

Birth rate is a demographic measure of the number of live births per thousand of the population per year. It is a key factor that influences population growth.

This refers to the number of deaths annually per thousand people in a population. High death rates can contribute to population decline, depending on birth rates and net migration levels.

Age distribution is a demographic term that shows the number of individuals of each age in a population. This can influence a variety of societal issues, ranging from healthcare requirements to potential labor force.

Fertility rate indicates the average number of children that would be born per woman if all women lived to the end of their childbearing years and bore children according to the given fertility rates at each age. This statistic is critical in understanding population growth dynamics and predicting future growth patterns.
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